TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,427,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,534,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,427,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 9,124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…e82fbacked No62c11,590,097$7,182,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,407,563.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4d…b874backed No62c3,070,000$1,914,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155,850250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes38c2,163,819$824,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824,772.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No71c1,193,651$843,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350,517.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes39c912,536$356,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356,774.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa380…21ffbacked Yes37c810,554$299,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,904.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes38c526,316$200,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No62c507,108$313,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,748.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fc…694dbacked Yes0c500,302$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes41c473,466$194,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,120.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes40c449,407$177,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177,568.598258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes37c400,000$149,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,999.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed No62c399,993$247,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,997.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c371,781$139,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,310.2972335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c371,457$141,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,037.2959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No59c350,000$206,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed Yes34c350,000$118,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes40c336,416$134,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,565.595745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes15c325,954$48,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,120.355145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f80…f911backed Yes0c312,673$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…e13ebacked Yes39c302,163$117,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,843.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No60c300,000$180,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,999.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No78c292,953$229,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,132.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes38c268,000$101,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,839.996344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…b8fbbacked Yes0c260,678$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c257,096$95,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,726.0546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes38c255,350$97,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,032.98040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…9210backed Yes39c253,051$99,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,373.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No59c249,278$147,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,203.984658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes20c243,422$48,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,834.6216136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes7c234,569$15,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,822.3927236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aef…db15backed Yes37c227,266$84,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,860.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e6…389dbacked Yes37c209,750$78,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes0c203,125$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes38c185,956$70,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,835.6329136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes39c181,727$70,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,873.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed Yes39c180,000$70,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No60c180,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,999.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes38c175,000$65,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,7507346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90f…0efcbacked Yes0c165,395$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No79c158,760$125,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,900.161952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d0…a200backed Yes22c156,571$34,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,304.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes5c153,350$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,280.181435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes15c150,984$22,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,649.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes37c150,000$55,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6682…e547backed Yes0c147,855$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.87650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9033…da56backed Yes0c146,565$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c146,253$110,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,448.331,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes37c146,223$54,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,102.391464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes0c141,072$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe295…5f31backed Yes0c127,678$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes35c125,988$44,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,299.851844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes40c125,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d6…308abacked No59c120,000$70,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…a4dbbacked Yes41c119,830$49,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,130.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd2…4c1cbacked Yes16c106,518$17,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,553.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1e…b15dbacked Yes0c105,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes2c104,018$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d81…3222backed Yes0c103,833$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked No60c101,215$60,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,485.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes0c100,457$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf931…09dcbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ce…ecd1backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6934…99b5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,000757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa19…2145backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e8…6fe7backed Yes0c96,165$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd46…6956backed Yes0c91,725$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes38c90,162$33,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,942.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Yes0c86,000$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa40…526dbacked Yes0c84,800$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe58f…2b7dbacked Yes1c83,134$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59b…03d3backed Yes0c82,975$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa575…7e97backed Yes38c80,989$30,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,859.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes37c80,592$29,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,819.1528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4744…fefbbacked Yes0c80,359$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No77c79,703$61,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,265.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…2d15backed Yes0c79,066$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Yes42c78,535$32,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,984.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c77,146$29,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,953.2863346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9af…e853backed Yes13c75,000$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes40c74,261$29,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,953.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes38c73,520$27,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,938.4250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1db…dd3bbacked Yes0c70,083$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes38c70,000$26,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb99e…e7a7backed Yes38c68,295$25,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,95220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Yes37c67,548$24,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,992.763743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes38c65,789$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd213…b65dbacked Yes15c64,567$9,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,685.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9b…03edbacked Yes9c63,095$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f4…3695backed Yes0c63,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372e…5eb8backed Yes0c60,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Yes0c60,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes39c60,000$23,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,299.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed No78c59,865$46,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,151.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6246…e185backed Yes0c59,273$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebd…9cd5backed Yes1c58,463$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1376…1139backed Yes38c58,126$22,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,087.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes39c58,060$22,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,643.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.