TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9ff…38c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.64
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$176.38
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,328.57
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$537.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,188.86
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.41
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.12
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$232.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.59
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,500
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$532.08
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$85.98
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+213.6%+$204.86
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.67
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$371.43
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+390%+$584.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+317.7%+$303.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+120.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.