Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9493c40ee9794c690dbbf1cc65e7b623ed65f4cb7c1765a2d2fd2f8c02a7f816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $413,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 57c | 102,578$58,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,567.75 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 58c | 59,018$34,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,788.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Yes | 8c | 51,834$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 42c | 49,580$20,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,994.08 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 27,459$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,211.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 55c | 18,653$10,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,483.91 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 16,884$9,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,590.7 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 0c | 16,292$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…4bb2backed Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked No | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 44c | 6,042$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.61 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 13c | 3,895$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…3289backed No | 56c | 3,800$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.98 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 2,956$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…044cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 2,800$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.27 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 2,779$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.99 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,100$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 45c | 1,634$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.55 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,578$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.1 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 42c | 1,453$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.16 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 43c | 1,400$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 2c | 1,357$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 1,280$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.18 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 39c | 1,176$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…cc9fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed No | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…8bf3backed Yes | 42c | 1,043$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,020$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 13c | 1,017$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 896.82$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.08 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 44c | 887.97$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Yes | 2c | 837$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 54c | 779.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.45 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 42c | 777$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 56c | 759.91$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 713.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 55c | 650$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked Yes | 42c | 598.33$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 567.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 510$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 42c | 449.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 21c | 443.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 40c | 427.76$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…c495backed Yes | 46c | 422$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 11c | 417.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 21c | 414.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 381.66$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 381.54$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +7.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…a6c6backed Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 343.91$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 45c | 333.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 15c | 317.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 58c | 301.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Yes | 42c | 291.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 54c | 259.94$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5d…c48fbacked No | 55c | 251$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Yes | 20c | 248.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…f1debacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 236$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 42c | 231.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3768…2795backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 46c | 219.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 44c | 209.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.