TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99eb…0464backed Yes1c30,395$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No71c24,164$17,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,007.564245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c17,163$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.1913839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes12c14,028$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.662,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes29c10,057$2,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.524254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes1c9,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c9,645$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.481963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c7,909$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.5632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c7,540$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.6968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c6,661$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.6749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes3c6,387$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No72c5,394$3,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.4911153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c4,464$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.585459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c4,111$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.19950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes1c4,012$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-83.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c3,668$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.1598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes12c3,617$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.6541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes29c3,420$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.8319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No71c3,300$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes29c3,230$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.7624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c2,684$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…f8d2backed Yes14c1,958$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.442133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,863$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.2241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes11c1,853$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.983243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes1c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c1,020$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2904242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c949.86$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.932630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c891.67$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.672080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes29c863.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes28c840.25$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9915946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No73c670$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.17763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes32c633.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.984463.6%28 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c578.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0416032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes29c461$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.693129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes19c409.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.973324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c348.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes6c348$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8814651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Yes10c322.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes16c317.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c306.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No71c240.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No71c239.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5915844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes15c214.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.274374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c201.53$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4421058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes14c179.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes28c151$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.793540%14 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes28c125.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes17c120.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.493953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5b…ad1ebacked Yes28c114.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Yes44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.641822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x183b…7ebebacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c98.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6516219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1272…37e7backed No72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x025d…1a72backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ee…092dbacked Yes20c78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.881127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes13c77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Yes28c76.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes24c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.662951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9982…8b06backed No72c73.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.69862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c70.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes29c66.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Yes50c60.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.821054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d4…3a29backed Yes28c59.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Yes50c59.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.740%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes50c56.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3410451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes28c56.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed Yes28c55.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ebcfbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c50.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes29c48.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No72c46.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.944163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa13b…60c0backed No73c38.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1faebacked Yes29c37.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a43…93a7backed Yes50c26.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1260%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63672.2%26 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c19.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8612153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No72c18.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.067862.8%49 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked No73c17.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.634163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No80c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.86544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked No72c13.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.911464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.