TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf79c…94ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7541.3%31 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$146.67
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+683.5%+$184.54
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Nicolás Paz: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2 - 0 Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.33
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$36.13
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.79
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT4311.6%5 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$106.78
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+596.7%+$179
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$28.45
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Dalian Yingbo FC 0 - 2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$33
Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$39.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 2 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 1. FC Köln?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$21.87
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.