TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,047,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,030,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,047,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No62c273,391$169,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,303.813351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a9…581bbacked Yes72c116,335$83,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,760.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes74c113,488$83,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,948.3824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No27c80,766$21,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,968.255040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No27c74,038$19,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,355.962842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Yes20c70,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes74c55,555$41,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,110.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c51,477$6,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,721.1524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No27c43,562$11,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,903.773450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes34c28,017$9,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,628.7462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No25c26,320$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,713.851250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No47c21,009$9,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,231.091888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes73c19,676$14,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,363.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes30c19,101$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,815.4671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c15,983$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,631.221,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No27c13,600$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,927.962835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No53c11,641$6,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.557741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed No53c11,056$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,236.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No25c10,885$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,115.56443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes28c10,784$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-64.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes19c10,268$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes48c10,000$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,749.971330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No25c9,981$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.574551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c8,661$6,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.3412556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5132…afd2backed Yes54c8,261$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No72c7,513$5,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.519558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes37c7,420$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No70c6,232$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.429960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c6,168$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Yes26c5,327$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No27c5,312$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.922466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No27c5,280$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.651330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes15c4,888$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.229450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes31c4,764$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.16943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No26c4,293$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.5935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No72c4,153$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.838058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes73c3,972$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.913627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes35c3,942$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.7410938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No25c3,787$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,840.371546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes1c3,692$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No24c3,392$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.0852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes59c3,000$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7553964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No53c2,896$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.13745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No28c2,796$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes75c2,771$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99b5…8d41backed No25c2,598$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+116.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes76c2,594$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.29458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes27c2,391$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5184…a654backed Yes73c2,336$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes26c2,291$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No79c2,276$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Yes12c2,253$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Yes33c2,144$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes26c2,127$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.062317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes26c2,107$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes52c2,089$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes72c2,042$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.334250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c1,957$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.2218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9701040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No26c1,940$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.3726354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28af…3875backed Yes1c1,900$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes72c1,892$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes62c1,881$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…6e5ebacked Yes52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes39c1,853$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c1,793$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No25c1,768$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.0830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No28c1,709$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No24c1,700$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes53c1,675$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.922528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No29c1,662$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…4a83backed Yes12c1,656$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes1c1,650$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Yes73c1,610$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.64540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2273…a0ecbacked Yes7c1,500$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes50c1,414$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.131241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes34c1,350$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.263141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes73c1,349$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed No74c1,330$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.87875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes47c1,309$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.949863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes76c1,297$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.62766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No50c1,253$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.812254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes16c1,225$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.34628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0780…b0e9backed No25c1,183$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed No49c1,051$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes73c1,037$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.962676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes27c1,031$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Yes9c1,014$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes75c1,014$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes48c1,010$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x583f…79ddbacked Yes16c907.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes73c868.44$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+354.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes20c866.1$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.84431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes26c853.15$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes73c849.03$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes66c806.63$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.