TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes21c19,654$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,165.091526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c13,101$10,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9651,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c9,010$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.8862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes22c8,701$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.537741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes24c7,653$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c4,771$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.1110938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes19c3,814$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.377227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c3,485$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.216943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c3,330$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.6124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes14c3,320$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.743246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c3,039$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes15c1,560$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick22cpaid+705.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes24c1,249$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.562317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes24c1,193$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c1,075$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes22c968.08$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.381020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes25c955$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c895.27$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes24c795.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes24c793.32$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c754.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.724723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes16c649.68$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.466119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes15c648.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes3c627.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes24c620$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes2c615.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes21c607.43$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.731020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c573$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.253619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes24c556.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.622030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes27c542.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.271553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.082744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes22c514.37$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.165947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1411725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes24c493.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.43225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes24c492.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes20c481.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.341827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes24c478.88$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes23c476.84$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.746530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes8c472.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e1…6255backed Yes24c448.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes14c445.68$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes16c397.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.44714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes24c391.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.914122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes17c368.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes14c338.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No77c315.19$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.031457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No78c307.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.872748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Yes16c303.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe79b…a34cbacked Yes24c290.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefc8…7309backed Yes5c286.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c263.32$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes9c262.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.637632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c258.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6316224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes19c250.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.592729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes16c237.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No77c200.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.411450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes19c200.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.062142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes23c199.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef9…916abacked Yes24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes21c191.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcc…c7dabacked Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Yes21c190.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.01812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes15c187.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.474151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes25c186.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.619641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes15c160.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8291…d6febacked Yes24c159.2$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes12c157.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes15c156.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.737231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes16c148.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes24c146.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.052133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Yes23c137.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes8c134.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed No77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.464443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes15c126.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.985046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked No78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No76c119.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c117.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Yes23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-57.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac55…610dbacked Yes18c107.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Yes24c107.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes17c99.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Yes14c99.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c88.73$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5115649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.