TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac55…610d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$80.18
Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$38.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+91.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$57.3
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$115.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$53.91
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+128.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+126.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.