TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$971,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$952,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes38c301,074$113,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,952.3316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked No63c81,756$51,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,249.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c73,159$45,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,681.0518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No63c70,000$44,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,9005939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No62c49,979$30,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,992.0424846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No63c45,766$28,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,933.5515949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c39,427$13,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,363.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes38c35,012$13,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,154.8520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c34,393$21,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,330.441,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c28,751$10,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,805.691,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51a…c4a3backed Yes31c23,163$7,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,180.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No63c21,199$13,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,843.5212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes34c18,492$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.0417557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No63c13,790$8,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.36261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c12,960$9,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,651.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No61c12,698$7,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.383070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No61c12,550$7,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.079856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes29c12,446$3,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.42924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No62c11,925$7,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,531.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c11,251$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6272,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed No61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes38c10,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7504546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No64c9,540$6,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.367653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No63c8,946$5,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.4927552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c8,921$5,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.7740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No63c7,781$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.0639555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked No63c7,693$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.371741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes37c7,642$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No63c7,509$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.249347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes38c7,449$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.632245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes28c6,166$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.5840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82e…3423backed Yes3c6,151$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.38520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c5,868$3,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.412,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes28c5,654$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.113832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c5,397$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c5,305$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.2277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes37c5,201$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.412532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes38c5,067$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.65646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.93650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No62c4,980$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.374261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1909…8c99backed Yes24c4,977$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c4,642$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No62c4,636$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes13c4,262$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No61c4,204$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.552759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes38c4,053$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.291827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes22c3,959$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.5414658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No61c3,936$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.124163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No72c3,690$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.1410042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes39c3,642$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.389859.2%58 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No61c3,500$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c3,326$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.471,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes38c3,037$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.2112037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c3,031$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4468026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1105056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes23c2,906$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.527327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No63c2,836$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.187759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes28c2,826$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No61c2,771$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.699849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes37c2,704$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.5118748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c2,650$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.5169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes38c2,584$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.062853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked No71c2,513$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.279660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes41c2,353$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.63342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes32c2,277$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.542245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked No64c2,249$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes29c2,239$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes37c2,200$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.1790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes5c2,189$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7718842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No65c2,179$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.744240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes29c2,166$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.336634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e28…0557backed Yes38c2,105$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No62c2,080$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.5841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7607444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7606262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes28c1,976$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.0225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed No67c1,960$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No79c1,804$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.5116238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes37c1,760$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.227752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…a1eebacked Yes38c1,736$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Yes39c1,729$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.384744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes26c1,720$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.1315249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes37c1,710$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.676432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes13c1,662$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes29c1,651$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.714138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes29c1,651$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9169…97d1backed Yes38c1,627$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Yes36c1,597$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.142166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb077…74d3backed Yes38c1,568$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.421546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes28c1,565$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.423010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No63c1,553$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.451662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked No63c1,552$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes38c1,520$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.683540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No67c1,512$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8442043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes4c1,494$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5622644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.