TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb077…74d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
818
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT66944.7%299 W · 370 L+3.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 669 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$66.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.56
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$67.8
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$38.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$45.63
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$66.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$42.79
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$71.41
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.08
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+196.1%+$114.33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$55.82
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.78
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$36.81
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.08
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Showing 25 of 669 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$81.51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.67
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.18
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.18
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.58
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.93
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+173%+$3,087.47
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$694.52
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.56
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$96.78
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.86
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$60.42
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.81
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.18
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74.55
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.19
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.8
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.34
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.97
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.07
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.37
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$40.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.78
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.01
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$115.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.68
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.42
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$383.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$140.49
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$84.59
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.58
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.59
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+357.1%+$219.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.21
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.85
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.14
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$107.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.71
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.14
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.59
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.88
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.02
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$487.63
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$109.69
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$13.72
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.07
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.26
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Amir Omarkhanovbacked Radu Albot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$30.58
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.48
Savannah: Kei Nishikori vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.78
Set 1 Winner: Travaglia vs Basilashvilibacked Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$27.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+118.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$62.41
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.84
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$79.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$92.73
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$490.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$35.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85%+$16.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.