Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ebd0f490a4b0ff9a65160bf03b3b12edd8008150f464bf64133cb65521fbd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $709,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $847,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 59c | 62,113$36,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,197.14 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 36,824$13,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,043.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 62c | 32,538$20,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,405.23 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 29,139$11,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,721.97 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 39c | 24,282$9,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,428.81 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 4c | 20,205$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 31c | 15,118$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.58 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 12,657$7,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.57 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Falcons | 64c | 12,285$7,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Spirit | 41c | 10,892$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.46 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 37c | 10,551$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.76 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 10,207$6,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.68 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 9,876$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.73 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 9,406$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 35c | 9,067$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.61 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit | 41c | 8,666$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.29 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit | 39c | 8,579$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.6 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 8,331$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.25 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit | 42c | 7,950$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 67c | 7,797$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.39 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 6,939$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.41 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 6,521$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 40c | 6,377$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.74 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 27c | 6,218$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.69 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,111$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.7 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 60c | 6,051$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.46 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 5,723$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.18 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 5,107$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.98 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,902$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 4,792$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.1 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 4,733$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.92 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 62c | 4,700$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.43 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 34c | 4,684$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,385$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.14 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Spirit | 40c | 4,278$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 4,235$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.62 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,106$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.43 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,964$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.22 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 47c | 3,910$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.88 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Spirit | 27c | 3,907$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.17 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 34c | 3,844$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.61 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 72c | 3,592$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.56 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 34c | 3,533$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.15 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Spirit | 36c | 3,516$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.6 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 3,509$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.28 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 3,391$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.42 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 60c | 3,331$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.42 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,127$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.28 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Falcons | 63c | 3,124$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.11 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 3,095$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.56 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,063$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.32 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 37c | 3,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,933$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.58 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,893$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.24 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,861$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.42 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,779$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.83 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 37c | 2,747$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.83 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 2,520$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,498$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.14 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,478$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.61 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 2,293$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed Team Falcons | 59c | 2,250$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,087$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.44 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,067$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,905$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,899$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,748$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,672$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.19 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,644$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,629$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.77 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Team Spirit | 39c | 1,615$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,612$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.57 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,606$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.37 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,578$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.29 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 1,561$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,524$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.11 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,519$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.46 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,488$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.07 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Spirit | 34c | 1,487$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.75 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,471$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.43 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,423$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 1,417$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,411$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.97 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,368$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.87 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,350$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.97 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,346$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,271$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.34 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,249$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.66 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 38c | 1,241$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.78 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,241$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.84 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.