TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdcdd…73a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
384
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT15739.5%62 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.59
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,048Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,483.03
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.22
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,344.93
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.96
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$1,035.69
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,790
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,450.49
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$1,032.07
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,038.38
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$312.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.91
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,070.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$1,758.51
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,492.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$309.86
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.81
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$376.16
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+769.6%+$153.91
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$2,048.8
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$131.21
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$960.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$541.67
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,190.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$1,375.44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.56
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$4,799Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+602.6%+$28,919.98
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$385.3
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.98
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$434.14
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+335.6%+$671.21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$124.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+211.9%+$40.64
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.87
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.42
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.1
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$106.68
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.08
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$265.22
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33%+$132.03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+87%+$174.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+323.1%+$2,843.16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$520
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$984
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$250.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$429.52
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$1,275.01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$7,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,095
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,038.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.