Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x291ff8aa0b7439389820e49584499d6dc65cf617dde1a47c4b84d05f42c85639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,280,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,157,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,280,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 73,719$18,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,155.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee9…2673backed Yes | 35c | 33,906$11,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,972.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 67c | 32,650$21,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.84 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 1c | 29,876$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,563.67 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 52c | 28,581$14,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,778.07 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 38c | 23,718$9,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,078.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…f488backed Yes | 60c | 23,638$14,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,476.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 45c | 22,643$10,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,520.58 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 21,655$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,627.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 56c | 21,622$12,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,412.8 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 17c | 21,615$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,977.09 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 21,152$12,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,821.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 19,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 17,407$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 17,260$11,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.9 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e766backed Yes | 2c | 17,241$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,945.15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +249.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 68c | 15,852$10,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 28c | 15,370$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,102.02 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6f64backed Yes | 1c | 14,884$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,809.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 3cpaid | +2,470.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…75b5backed Yes | 67c | 14,624$9,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 14,388$6,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,413.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…99e2backed Yes | 78c | 13,582$10,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 11,383$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,035.29 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 63c | 10,471$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 62c | 10,277$6,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.56 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 10,220$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.81 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 39c | 10,195$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.67 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +11.7wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed Yes | 46c | 9,281$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked Yes | 79c | 9,100$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.7 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 71c | 9,000$6,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,975$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,860.09 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 23c | 8,841$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 12c | 8,471$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,478.98 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 78c | 8,467$6,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.24 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 55c | 8,253$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.5 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…f55cbacked Yes | 74c | 7,955$5,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 74c | 7,890$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 7,814$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 25c | 7,677$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 26c | 7,654$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,656.73 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf192…6ee2backed Yes | 62c | 7,610$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.28 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 48c | 7,581$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.02 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 72c | 7,540$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 7,539$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,731.44 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 23c | 7,360$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 76c | 7,046$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.11 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 23c | 6,981$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.05 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 25c | 6,962$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.94 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…977fbacked Yes | 48c | 6,886$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 72c | 6,876$4,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.22 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 68c | 6,834$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.09 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes | 78c | 6,834$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.67 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 6,740$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,226.97 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes | 71c | 6,712$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.48 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 42c | 6,651$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 67c | 6,633$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 13c | 6,487$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.72 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 6,458$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.72 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 32c | 6,445$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.19 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…d74fbacked No | 9c | 6,424$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 1c | 6,267$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 57c | 6,212$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.95 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 29c | 5,957$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 69c | 5,762$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 19c | 5,653$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.59 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 44c | 5,562$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 15c | 5,555$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.81 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 7c | 5,501$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,132.51 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 20c | 5,397$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.47 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 18c | 5,346$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.26 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 9c | 5,248$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.7 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 76c | 5,217$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…ef79backed Yes | 79c | 5,173$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…36a2backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 16c | 4,943$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.12 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 44c | 4,875$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.62 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 60c | 4,750$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.77 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 27c | 4,726$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.6 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 35c | 4,721$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.12 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed No | 72c | 4,700$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…bdd2backed Yes | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…d629backed No | 1c | 4,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 1c | 4,533$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.45 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 66c | 4,516$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 67c | 4,467$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.01 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…b900backed Yes | 23c | 4,447$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed No | 36c | 4,381$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a39…afebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,312$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +802.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 77c | 4,307$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.97 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 39c | 4,302$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.07 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…71edbacked Yes | 3c | 4,269$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.76 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +187.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…ecdbbacked Yes | 65c | 4,177$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 74c | 4,055$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Yes | 55c | 3,953$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.03 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…93eabacked Yes | 72c | 3,924$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed No | 60c | 3,857$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 7c | 3,748$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.71 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 75c | 3,692$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.64 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 59c | 3,643$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.