Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7373d242a34de5c184ffdc9707e7b179ea6aa8f8600686ca2ddecbdbec9457b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,363,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 50,219$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 42,115$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.3 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 41,439$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 35c | 41,047$14,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,496.19 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 34,864$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 26c | 21,187$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 21,121$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 21c | 20,973$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.51 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 19c | 20,692$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.81 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed Yes | 32c | 20,390$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.59 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 14c | 17,035$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.62 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 41c | 16,872$6,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,835.01 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 17c | 14,951$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 0c | 14,712$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 0c | 13,874$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 148 | 8.1%12 W · 136 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +238.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…6db2backed Yes | 2c | 13,103$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 1cpaid | +448.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 34c | 12,149$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,075.4 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 5c | 11,632$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.77 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 1c | 11,532$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 8c | 11,248$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 7c | 10,724$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 5c | 10,547$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.43 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 3c | 10,100$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 14c | 10,008$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.01 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 11c | 9,716$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.12 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 27c | 9,543$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 0c | 9,138$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,605$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.15 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 1c | 8,130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 7,423$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.51 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e766backed Yes | 1c | 7,324$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +249.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 3c | 7,187$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 3c | 6,989$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed Yes | 18c | 6,541$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.35 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…3935backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 20c | 6,467$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.84 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 22c | 6,312$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.77 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 6,113$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,055$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.13 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4af…23abbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 5c | 5,991$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 33c | 5,862$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.46 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 1c | 5,767$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 7c | 5,656$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,483$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.01 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 5,423$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,262$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.59 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 8c | 5,238$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…065dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,181$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 18c | 5,180$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.59 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…9cbabacked Yes | 25c | 5,018$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 10c | 4,872$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 11c | 4,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 18c | 4,587$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.99 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 4,556$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…9386backed Yes | 2c | 4,456$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 1c | 4,360$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…b42fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,337$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 18c | 4,327$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.16 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 43c | 4,227$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.08 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7ec8backed Yes | 77c | 4,127$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 9c | 4,109$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 4,091$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 39c | 3,887$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…31f5backed Yes | 1c | 3,770$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 45c | 3,749$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…1083backed Yes | 42c | 3,716$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.59 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,694$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 4c | 3,666$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…d255backed Yes | 1c | 3,655$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 7c | 3,650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,639$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.66 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…7636backed Yes | 2c | 3,580$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 11c | 3,458$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,400$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 3,353$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.66 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 26c | 3,350$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.4 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 15c | 3,345$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…b808backed Yes | 12c | 3,341$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 3,276$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,062$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 8c | 3,061$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked Yes | 23c | 3,060$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.83 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 4c | 3,040$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 55c | 3,026$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 4c | 2,674$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,671$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,556$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 1c | 2,541$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…43cfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,539$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 16cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,523$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 5c | 2,500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 3c | 2,497$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…1e1ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,443$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 24c | 2,377$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.96 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.