Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45b7c592c566c75d5ee5a225d4ed0e2c75c84f06dd28c9c458f2bbfb6dcb0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $910,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $910,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 73,399$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.16 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…c6e6backed Yes | 5c | 55,000$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 48,182$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 3c | 36,423$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.69 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 23,482$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…91f7backed Yes | 31c | 22,615$6,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 0c | 21,348$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 21,027$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…2edbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 6c | 18,668$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.24 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,778$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 16,291$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 1c | 13,471$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9402backed Yes | 3c | 13,219$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.6 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 0c | 11,334$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed Yes | 1c | 11,330$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,921$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 1c | 8,863$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…b808backed Yes | 1c | 8,687$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 8,042$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 3c | 7,696$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 0c | 7,683$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 1c | 7,645$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 1c | 7,334$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…9771backed Yes | 1c | 6,187$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 0c | 5,760$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 5,725$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 2c | 5,540$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Yes | 1c | 5,476$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +166%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…cf07backed Yes | 0c | 4,482$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 4,461$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…9cb9backed Yes | 5c | 4,345$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…20b1backed Yes | 0c | 4,295$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 1.7%2 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…f9abbacked Yes | 1c | 4,030$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 12c | 3,913$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c40…3d64backed Yes | 1c | 3,900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,772$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,642$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Yes | 1c | 3,503$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…ffc0backed Yes | 1c | 3,216$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…324dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e1…aa05backed Yes | 1c | 3,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 76c | 3,042$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.66 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,946$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 2,837$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,547$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 0c | 2,529$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 6c | 2,118$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6446…ac48backed Yes | 1c | 2,088$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…ea26backed Yes | 1c | 2,023$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 5c | 2,010$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…5cd6backed Yes | 1c | 1,938$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,668$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 1c | 1,630$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9967…7a31backed Yes | 1c | 1,594$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 1c | 1,550$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…cb43backed Yes | 1c | 1,550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…79c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…725cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,436$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…e1afbacked Yes | 14c | 1,348$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,283$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 2c | 1,265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…0627backed Yes | 8c | 1,255$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 1c | 1,206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 8c | 1,177$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 57c | 1,148$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,056$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 1,044$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 2c | 922.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e1…69a6backed Yes | 12c | 855.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 18c | 839.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 4c | 814.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 242 | 24.4%59 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 4c | 761.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 7c | 738.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 64c | 678$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 13c | 623.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 5c | 600.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 78c | 600$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…85dfbacked Yes | 14c | 578.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…32b3backed Yes | 2c | 575.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…292abacked Yes | 4c | 566.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 11c | 546.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 3c | 430.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 79c | 416$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 8c | 411.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…b74cbacked Yes | 12c | 409.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 77c | 406.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…f93ebacked Yes | 12c | 403.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 27c | 400.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 25c | 399.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 9c | 387.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 131 | 6.1%8 W · 123 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 73c | 372.21$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 9c | 298.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6d86backed Yes | 4c | 294$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 23c | 230.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.