TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ab3…07bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
527
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 57 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1316.1%8 W · 123 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.66
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.03
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.66
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,160.8%+$266.45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.52
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+837.8%+$277.83
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6320.6%13 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.73
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+346.6%+$82.17
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.24
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6114.8%9 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+722.9%+$166.2
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+481.7%+$109.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+684.3%+$331.14
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT553.6%2 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick16cpaid-83.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $40M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58.67
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.49
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.18
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.15
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3713.5%5 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$20.11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.09
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+282.9%+$46.16
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.35
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$38.55
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.07
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+540.8%+$59.92
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3611.1%4 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+931.1%+$232.77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.78
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72.45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.11
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75.95
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+1,028.2%+$113.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST214.8%1 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-87.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.54
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.91
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.38
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+167.9%+$25.18
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.33
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.15
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36.7
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$78.3
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$46.43
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will "Little Brother" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+183%+$24.62
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+528.2%+$102.35
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.63
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.12
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.89
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick9cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+737.9%+$133.2
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+661.8%+$162.38
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+338.3%+$43.66
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.88
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+658.8%+$143.16
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.17
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40.53
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.75
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-32.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+198.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+899%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+899%+$671.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$52.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Yumeea vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Cbacked Yumeea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.