Movies · resolved market
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a30dbb4e13080f34d47bd1ce81b0b13df1766392f351dfc8e186e4acab8685b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 10c | 9,946$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.82 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 3c | 5,598$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,560$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,324$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.87 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,043$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.77 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 3,695$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb656…42e6backed Yes | 7c | 3,600$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,508$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.59 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 3,450$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 22c | 3,216$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 7c | 2,626$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,941$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 7c | 1,879$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,850$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed Yes | 4c | 1,435$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 13c | 1,407$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,398$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 266 | 6.4%17 W · 249 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,202$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 22c | 1,190$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,158$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,007$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 12c | 1,001$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 7c | 920.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 787.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 777.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 775.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 649.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 13c | 644.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 3c | 630.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 10c | 629.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 8c | 607.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 582$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 6c | 473.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 443.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…c90bbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 6c | 395.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 373$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 351.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 9c | 320.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 20c | 308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Yes | 11c | 249.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 241.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 6c | 240$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 230.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 80c | 193$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 14c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…79a2backed Yes | 7c | 184.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes | 28c | 176$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed Yes | 9c | 168.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 18c | 167.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 26c | 159$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 20c | 151.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 10c | 122.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Yes | 13c | 116.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 14c | 98.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 19c | 97.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 96.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…d2afbacked Yes | 14c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…6316backed Yes | 13c | 82.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…8be7backed Yes | 17c | 75.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 15c | 73.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 72c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…a259backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 77c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?this page
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?No won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?No won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?Yes won
- Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 61m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.