TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x168f…9e00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,269
Categories scored
45
Categories below 50
28

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT23543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$191.23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+535.6%+$1,011.2
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$215.8
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.39
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.11
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+566.5%+$102.34
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,232.97
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$44.83
Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.09
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.54
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.15
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Julian Alvarez score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarezbacked Haaland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$18
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$44.72
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.5
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT17129.2%50 W · 121 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$46.88
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.62
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.69
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.73
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.59
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.54
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT13131.3%41 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$907.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$33.62
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$270.8
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.36
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+82%+$77.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.72
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10730.8%33 W · 74 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.48
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.24
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.71
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$32
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?backed Anthropic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?backed Tesla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.06
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.18
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$253.11
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.79
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$209.76
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.56
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$159.44
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$261.8
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.84
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.01
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$25.88
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$58.63
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$101.98
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+563.5%+$240.35
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$401.22
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT8831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$12.64
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$19.65
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.41
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.44
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.31
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.68
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$109.74
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.91
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$34.46
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.12
Will Andy Biggs win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.93
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.78
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.95
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.84
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.52
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6347.6%30 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+1,095.1%+$176.71
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$25.2
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.15
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.01
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$3.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+649.1%+$165.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.28
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.09
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$88.29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$75.32
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47%+$122.51
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.19
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.39
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$123.74
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$43.92
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44%+$27.5
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$4.47
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.76
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.03
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$28.24
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$43
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.58
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.88
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.78
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$167.36
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.93
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$32.13
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.94
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$534
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.1
Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.06
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$329.97
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126.09
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$16.06
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.89
NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$24.84
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$203.15
NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44%+$8.26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$290.7
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$426
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.98
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.96
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ITG not IPO before September 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$151.94
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$131.11
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$54.55
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.63
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.89
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$35.3
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.13
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.72
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will jL win a trophy by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Will s1mple retire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.57
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$414.29
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.84
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$1,042.24
Will Vitality reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.75
Will Aurora qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.68
Will PARIVISION qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Vitality drop from #1 in the VRS rankings by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.05
Will B8 qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Will GamerLegion qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will HEROIC qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.33
Will PARIVISION win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.9
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 24 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid+104%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Over $3M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.06
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.24
Tea FDV above $150M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launchbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+3,900%+$413.4
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.79
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126
All 24 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$8.96
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.6
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$340
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$503.13
All 23 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.46
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.97
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.88
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.11
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.2
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.4
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.27
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$134.63
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.73
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.39
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.24
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$25.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Les Wexner charged by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+343.1%+$480.07
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+247.5%+$370.37
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.33
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.19
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$251.6
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$22.43
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.52
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$11.93
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.18
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.28
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.83
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.47
Will T1 win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.9
Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stagebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Top Esports make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will T1 make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$32.71
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will FlyQuest win LCS 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.74
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9.16
Will Hanwha Life Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Fukuoka SoftBank HAWKS gaming win LCP 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.4
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.3
Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$34.72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.92
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$146.4
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$120.91
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.09
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.8
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+955%+$450.86
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-87.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.48
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twinsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$150.47
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.46
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Xavier Villeneuve be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.6
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$293.15
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$28.4
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Scotlandbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somersetbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.33
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: Portugal vs Norwaybacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.27
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Indonesia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$113.58
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.46
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$206.4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.74
Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 7 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110.16
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$295.15
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.37
Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+68.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+1,049.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monza achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.