Movies · resolved market
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5bcba0e0375a5185b6f61b428332dbf301f2f7cb708dcce207106a80609a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 38c | 12,050$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.9 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…bbbcbacked No | 0c | 11,109$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 7c | 8,378$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 55c | 7,854$4,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.13 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed No | 1c | 7,639$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 27c | 7,407$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.69 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 70c | 5,864$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.07 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 44c | 5,743$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 55c | 5,279$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.79 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 23c | 4,290$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.81 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 32c | 4,004$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.48 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 1c | 3,473$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 56c | 2,652$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 46c | 2,410$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.99 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 54c | 2,406$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.35 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…afc1backed No | 1c | 2,234$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 56c | 2,230$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 47c | 2,123$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.05 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,001$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.52 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 51c | 1,955$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.03 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked No | 36c | 1,759$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…2dd0backed No | 1c | 1,693$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,457$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 25c | 1,450$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.48 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,232$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…02dfbacked No | 2c | 1,229$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 39c | 1,173$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.88 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 1,153$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.38 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 1,072$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 1,038$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.85 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 50c | 984.08$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 974$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 56c | 882.58$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 757.95$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 745$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 43c | 712.86$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.36 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1b…c826backed No | 7c | 704.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 49c | 533$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.17 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 513.74$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 42c | 505.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed No | 20c | 501.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 79c | 478.81$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 467.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 393.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 28c | 380.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 42c | 368$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 355.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 45c | 327.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 45c | 303.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.83 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 47c | 300.66$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 292.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…669bbacked Yes | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 260.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 43c | 249.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 43c | 243$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…3da3backed Yes | 73c | 238.86$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dba…d397backed No | 45c | 237$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0c48backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 192.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 8c | 180.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 180.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 9c | 172.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 56c | 164.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 152$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 138$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 35c | 123$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 28c | 110.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 49c | 109.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 64c | 109.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 58c | 109$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…1535backed Yes | 56c | 107.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 33c | 107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 46c | 100.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…de09backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…085ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 66c | 98.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 74c | 96.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 41c | 95.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 26c | 91.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 22c | 90.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 55c | 86.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…ec61backed Yes | 38c | 77.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…afd2backed No | 54c | 76.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed Yes | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?this page
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?No won
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?No won
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 122m?No won
- Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.