TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80de…2e87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.95
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.13
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.32
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.43
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.31
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.02
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.31
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$274.61
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.06
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$43.2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.1
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$72.3
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.46
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+422%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+422%+$970.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$39.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$54.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.