Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cf9796dd392af25f003ed40a24e3087ee538629e51694e9f663c7d371aafd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof South Africa, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,574,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,643,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,574,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Canada | 72c | 457,616$327,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,656.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed South Africa | 27c | 449,120$123,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,180.44 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked South Africa | 28c | 356,888$99,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,928.72 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Canada | 74c | 299,999$221,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,999.79 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed South Africa | 30c | 136,634$41,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,601.53 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked South Africa | 31c | 108,904$34,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,116.22 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked South Africa | 25c | 103,589$25,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,897.21 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed South Africa | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Canada | 71c | 77,056$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,056.27 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked South Africa | 25c | 61,367$15,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,341.79 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Canada | 72c | 48,012$34,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,443.36 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Canada | 75c | 45,420$34,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,355.1 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Canada | 68c | 32,270$21,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,322 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Africa | 26c | 31,438$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.14 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Canada | 75c | 29,923$22,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.85 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed South Africa | 27c | 27,993$7,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,558.24 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…7a14backed South Africa | 29c | 24,969$7,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Canada | 72c | 24,122$17,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed South Africa | 31c | 22,858$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Canada | 73c | 22,222$16,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.94 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…ada5backed South Africa | 30c | 20,598$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.1 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Canada | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed South Africa | 25c | 19,302$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.5 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked South Africa | 27c | 19,071$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.37 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…128dbacked Canada | 72c | 18,056$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.56 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Canada | 66c | 17,528$11,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.45 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Canada | 71c | 17,250$12,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.42 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked South Africa | 37c | 14,632$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.35 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked South Africa | 30c | 14,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Canada | 72c | 13,889$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed South Africa | 37c | 13,474$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed South Africa | 31c | 12,938$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.85 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Canada | 72c | 12,500$9,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.97 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed South Africa | 27c | 12,081$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.36 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked South Africa | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.94 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Canada | 74c | 11,114$8,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.55 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Canada | 67c | 11,014$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed South Africa | 29c | 10,951$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Canada | 72c | 10,822$7,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.22 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…d23abacked South Africa | 26c | 10,422$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked South Africa | 38c | 10,373$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.55 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…c092backed Canada | 68c | 10,304$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed South Africa | 27c | 10,254$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.52 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed South Africa | 35c | 10,225$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.41 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canada | 78c | 10,075$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Canada | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked South Africa | 27c | 10,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked South Africa | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.95 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…934abacked Canada | 75c | 9,963$7,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Canada | 72c | 9,500$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.14 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Canada | 75c | 9,396$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.07 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Canada | 66c | 9,226$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.41 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked South Africa | 29c | 8,124$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.68 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Canada | 72c | 8,000$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed South Africa | 34c | 7,987$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.16 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…a7ddbacked South Africa | 29c | 7,822$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Canada | 65c | 7,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked South Africa | 27c | 7,224$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.79 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked South Africa | 32c | 7,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.96 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Canada | 72c | 6,976$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.61 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Canada | 70c | 6,711$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.35 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…7464backed South Africa | 27c | 6,439$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.25 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed South Africa | 29c | 5,871$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.58 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Canada | 69c | 5,736$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.54 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed South Africa | 26c | 5,698$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed South Africa | 29c | 5,588$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.52 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…8990backed Canada | 72c | 5,350$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Canada | 67c | 5,255$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.02 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed South Africa | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Canada | 72c | 5,150$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Canada | 67c | 5,093$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Canada | 75c | 5,064$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed South Africa | 32c | 5,012$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Africa | 36c | 5,009$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.87 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Canada | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Canada | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Canada | 73c | 5,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Canada | 71c | 4,879$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed South Africa | 24c | 4,826$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Canada | 71c | 4,804$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.91 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed South Africa | 33c | 4,723$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.88 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Canada | 64c | 4,531$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed South Africa | 24c | 4,293$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.34 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Canada | 68c | 4,167$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.37 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Canada | 76c | 4,163$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.59 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked South Africa | 35c | 4,158$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Canada | 75c | 4,058$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Canada | 75c | 4,030$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked South Africa | 36c | 4,030$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.79 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Canada | 70c | 4,020$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Canada | 72c | 4,011$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Canada | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Canada | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Canada | 71c | 4,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canada | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed South Africa | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked South Africa | 25c | 4,000$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.46 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Canada | 75c | 3,951$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Canada | 68c | 3,923$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed South Africa | 2c | 3,909$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancethis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.