TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$472,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under79c85,732$67,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,003.824158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c53,301$11,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,275.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over6c21,555$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.3595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under79c15,353$12,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.931,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c14,047$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under79c14,046$11,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over21c11,345$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.384932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over9c11,171$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.831,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over19c11,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12037944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over24c10,349$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over21c10,241$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.6170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over14c9,542$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.011,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c8,938$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over21c8,792$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.338723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over21c7,601$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.999126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under79c6,633$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.986459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over24c6,606$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.533920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1280…6b24backed Under77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.511861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c6,279$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c5,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over4c4,639$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.4131232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under80c4,501$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.826660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over11c4,466$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.061,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over21c4,005$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.962,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over21c4,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.9810518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d2…586fbacked Under79c3,752$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.14988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf9d…ee2dbacked Under78c3,500$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.063158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over23c3,333$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over21c3,095$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c2,912$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9116325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Under79c2,792$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.547167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Under78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f79…1c85backed Under79c2,516$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.824238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Under80c2,505$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7515453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Under77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5753548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9158…ad24backed Under77c1,950$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.56361.9%39 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over12c1,887$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under78c1,858$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Under77c1,811$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5714347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c1,657$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.142,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over22c1,636$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x830b…32fdbacked Over13c1,416$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1123747.3%112 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5c…49acbacked Under77c1,319$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Over3c1,300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.53928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.727951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over21c1,290$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab77…da8bbacked Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.055236.5%19 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b5…c594backed Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.056645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184b…cc31backed Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.059100%9 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc65e…3c8fbacked Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.862552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5846…7beebacked Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1f87backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bba…2c84backed Under79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.821662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7737…cd3ebacked Under77c1,225$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.327860.3%47 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over22c1,211$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.451,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over20c1,197$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.4236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939e…0a64backed Under77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2534456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under77c1,080$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.434247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1b…ffc0backed Under80c1,060$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Under80c1,050$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.048143.2%35 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef0…7708backed Under79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.663964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c9…5eb1backed Under77c997.52$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.433265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over21c955.74$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.0911641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87a…d5e2backed Under79c900$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7b…dc73backed Under80c837.31$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.465248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc418…66f0backed Under79c816.46$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Under79c809.99$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.19642.7%41 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Under78c801.41$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3134751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a71…78c9backed Under80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e59…ff78backed Under79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1688543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Under79c780$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.87841%32 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9532…9350backed Under79c770$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over21c755.92$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7495037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over21c744.19$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.291,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…bcadbacked Under79c738$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.982382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f50…6f68backed Under79c731.65$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c75…a628backed Under78c727.23$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.996055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…83c7backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005717.5%10 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6607…5bd9backed Under79c615.61$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.287638.2%29 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over22c614.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13815920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7a…8465backed Under80c575$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d93…c671backed Under79c570$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.76245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over22c567.33$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6633544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…51c8backed Under79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.55749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…3a3abacked Under78c538.46$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.462382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under77c532$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over19c526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9446230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7c…a9b9backed Under77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4819645.9%90 W · 106 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec50…380abacked Under79c518.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over21c503.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.151,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Under79c503.14$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6643139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.