TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6607…5bd9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: IPO, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9246.7%43 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$787
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$267.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$177.6
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$45.5
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$71.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$90.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$58.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$38.5
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7638.2%29 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.8%+$841.46
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$55.5
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$148.5
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.6
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$427
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.39
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$422.38
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Brazil vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$315.25
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$79.99
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$121.97
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$48
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$686.63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$177
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$565.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$131.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$150
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$767.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$214.31
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$160.2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$58.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$108.2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.86
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$468
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.66
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$748.64
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40%+$200
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$259.69
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.49
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$114
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$73.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$368
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$16
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.