MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd368c213a98c8d6902ff5c8ecc084e92df72b8d4769fc890277cceea4defa350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof San Francisco Giants, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,225,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,277,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,225,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 449,999$192,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,999.72 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 161,761$93,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,939.77 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 151,951$58,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,340 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 125,000$71,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,750 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 83,128$52,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,068.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 80,015$47,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,805.95 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 60,250$34,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,907.68 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 47,099$32,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,352.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 31,313$14,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,919.65 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 25,500$10,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,455 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 25,469$15,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,187.71 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 19,382$13,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.44 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 18,746$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 18,549$10,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,790.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 18,226$13,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 17,240$11,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,480.36 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed San Francisco Giants | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 13,409$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 13,169$7,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,267.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 12,991$7,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 11,805$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 11,005$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.05 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 10,870$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.18 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 10,668$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480.42 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 10,500$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 8,800$5,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.88 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.53 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 8,596$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 8,033$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 7,172$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 6,628$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 6,300$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.35 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 6,118$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 5,896$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,800$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 5,791$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 5,617$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 4,735$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.91 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 4,734$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 4,539$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.56 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 4,306$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 4,274$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.4 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 4,266$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,102$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked San Francisco Giants | 6c | 4,056$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,991$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.28 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,974$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.39 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,699$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…683ebacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 3,694$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 3,693$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.12 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 3,675$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,610$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 3,499$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.59 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 3,340$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,300$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,997$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 2,760$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,723$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.94 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,619$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.72 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 2,419$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.33 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,350$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.01 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 2,312$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.43 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 2,296$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed San Francisco Giants | 4c | 2,070$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked San Francisco Giants | 4c | 2,070$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,034$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,853$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.36 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.18 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,583$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,467$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.79 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,386$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,379$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.97 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,358$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,238$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.3 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Francisco Giants | 40c | 1,199$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.75 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,180$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.