MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6685ff6f188adcbb3c6ddec2c16b9a1c0c90e843007ba743ee0067a4e92e0360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 12,564$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,619.42 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 11,000$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 6,100$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 5,500$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.79 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 3,168$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.4 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 3,050$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 2,146$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 1,955$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.92 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,924$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,824$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,479$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.48 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,366$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.86 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 1,273$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.44 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,244$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.22 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,118$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.06 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 1,080$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.33 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 973.48$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 920.71$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 898.25$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.79 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 800.02$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 799.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 761$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 758.33$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 551.83$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.13 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 535.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.74 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 483.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 450$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…47f6backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 424.26$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 424.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 408.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 399.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 320.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 259.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 197.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 175$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…3adfbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 157.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 157$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…13d2backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 141.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…fc39backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 128.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +14.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…6f0ebacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 124.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…813ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 118.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…1efbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 111.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 108.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…eb69backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 102.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…16cdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 102.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 96.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 93.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a5…dd82backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 92.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 78.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…8473backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 77.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 66.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 66.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 53.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 51.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 51.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 49.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 44.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 40.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…17f1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 35.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 34.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 34.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 29.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 27.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…36fabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 23.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.