TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f50…069b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
309
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT16345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+310.9%+$113.49
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$121
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$117.8
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$180.4
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.4
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.9
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Colorado Avalanche vs Carolina Hurricanes be the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.57
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$45.68
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.72
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.02
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$36.3
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Cowboys vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Broncos vs. Falconsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.