TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a21…9318backed Yes33c1,759$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.342,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…4615backed Yes54c1,050$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.851010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes52c959.74$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.2387837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes36c957.01$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No45c709.82$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.5320652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No46c707.59$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.371,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No78c654.79$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4223644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed No44c572.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0223224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes54c551$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5212046.7%56 W · 64 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No46c514.62$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes44c447.18$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7610441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes56c445$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.962,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes42c436.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9343835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked No56c410$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.45851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed No38c340.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.937621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked No39c326.26$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9321143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes52c306$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1242640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes62c299.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9917340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No57c283.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1325244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98dc…9949backed No38c254.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.548735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No49c210.63$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No15c201.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.397799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2718460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes14c198.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbb…32afbacked No51c194.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5712726.8%34 W · 93 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes43c192.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7225443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4722…36bbbacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes47c175.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3418139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed Yes61c165.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4410966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed Yes62c152$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.245855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No39c138.72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.149455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No52c132.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.610847.2%51 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No45c130$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7123543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes32c121.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.981,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No56c116$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.614858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf9…9530backed Yes45c110.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Yes58c107.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1319332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes62c105.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6512932.6%42 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128b…0ee5backed Yes62c104.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No46c103.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6135033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537319.2%14 W · 59 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaab…acf9backed Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes48c93.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed No41c87.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.25125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67cf…2371backed Yes47c84.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508941.6%37 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes40c80.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No47c74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9813060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No46c72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8822243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes63c71.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No36c68.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0742737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No27c67.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7521958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cbc…26c6backed No49c61.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.15435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No40c61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.612352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes49c57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.864254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes46c56.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.587639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.621,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No41c54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.617558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes55c53.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4130241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a2…864fbacked Yes45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No30c52.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4435136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No59c51.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3b…4ae1backed No37c50.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.98425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.515253.3%81 W · 71 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.53339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2314436.1%52 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b1…b6bebacked Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbb…acb2backed Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes60c49.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307345.2%33 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes62c49.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.852763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc01…3fddbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No35c48.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.321540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No37c48.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3626037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511330.1%34 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5d…4a56backed No39c46.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No45c45.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2723245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No40c43.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Yes61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6225638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25450%27 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…2f17backed No40c37.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…3fe8backed No41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.594146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No58c35.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No54c34.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed No61c32.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.873348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes61c31.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913922.3%31 W · 108 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.928554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3609…4e3bbacked No52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeec9…83a6backed Yes63c29.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.892268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7be5…0d49backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes53c24.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9116740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd704…cf56backed Yes61c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.