TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf24f…15b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12932.6%42 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.04
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$120
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+415%+$207.5
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$86.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$56.91
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$26.95
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT9936.4%36 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6734.3%23 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KÍ win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advancebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Team to Advancebacked FK Borac Banja Luka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. Kuopion PS: Team to Advancebacked Kuopion PS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Team to Advancebacked Górnik Zabrze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to Advancebacked Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to Advancebacked AS Omónoia Leukosías · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ: Team to Advancebacked FK Kauno Žalgiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advancebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kuopion PS vs. FK Vardar Skopje end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$37.34
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+820.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+820.9%+$99.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.