TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$517,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed No40c100,236$40,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,094.5320140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes61c63,820$38,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,889.9524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes59c50,000$29,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,499.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes60c45,433$27,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,187.723053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No40c33,299$13,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,485.3431944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes60c21,491$12,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,596.489061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No41c14,870$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.710962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed No40c11,774$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No12c11,175$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.431,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c10,848$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3392437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes60c9,758$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,902.8519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes60c8,848$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes62c7,802$4,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.922245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d2…0a4abacked Yes60c7,439$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c6,959$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.632,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95f…6471backed No41c6,022$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes61c6,000$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No38c5,536$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.95337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No39c5,117$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.5618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes61c5,038$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.9340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes60c4,562$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.810765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No40c4,508$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.2226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Yes80c4,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.821080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes61c3,917$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.76737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No38c3,876$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.715658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No21c3,807$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2746…3cffbacked No41c3,614$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes60c3,477$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.7556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed Yes60c3,400$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No41c3,302$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3549749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No19c3,187$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.146,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yes61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.996660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d41…0389backed Yes60c2,480$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes60c2,420$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes62c2,258$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No39c2,222$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5090…a39cbacked No40c2,002$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes62c1,916$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.5810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No11c1,860$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9515233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No39c1,836$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No40c1,789$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.9441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Yes60c1,670$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6681080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No38c1,600$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6143040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c1,590$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.961,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No40c1,583$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.321040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No10c1,482$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No40c1,435$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.514932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No21c1,323$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes80c1,111$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.394252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…8db0backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No4c999.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Yes60c945.5$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c941.54$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627e…f59fbacked No40c926.2$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.481040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38f…0f83backed No40c926.2$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.481040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No36c888$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.248257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.466527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3311169.4%77 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes62c793$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3425648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes59c757.15$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.153246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes60c701.68$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Yes60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No13c609.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.128824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No39c599.96$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9814254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.522673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes75c533.96$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.965754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x211b…1c13backed No39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed No38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No38c499.23$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6235941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No11c495.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c472.61$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.71,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes60c455$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No7c430$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.829732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No43c428.47$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.72250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes62c410$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No22c409.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6710232.4%33 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes61c409$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.511,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.232470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No39c392.31$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No38c383.32$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6613353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes61c377.61$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2796443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No41c361.91$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.59157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked No38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5c…7d0bbacked No6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.