TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7521…9997

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$261.43
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$358
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+300%+$261
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$378.2
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$298.81
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.48
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.84
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.18
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.02
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Federica Urgesibacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Navabacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$78.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin Dammbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$94.29
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$57
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.98
Madrid Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$214.32
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.4
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$129.35
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.08
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$68.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365.09
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$224.74
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$101.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$140.54
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$65.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+28.1%+$5.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.