Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea67dfa81910dcbd21666dcbdf99e0f31175289c8e1d4bd5a1d392dc92d57e2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 65c | 36,473$23,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,707.72 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 31,611$12,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,458.02 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 25,963$16,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,174.69 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 17,475$7,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,820.13 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 67c | 14,905$9,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,992.72 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 49c | 14,510$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 54c | 12,289$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.96 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 12,069$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.12 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Under | 54c | 9,388$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,095.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 70c | 7,977$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.73 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 42c | 5,391$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.61 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 65c | 4,815$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,129.63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 4,133$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.28 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 3,369$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.3 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 43c | 2,933$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.44 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 43c | 2,914$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.6 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 2,840$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.47 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 37c | 2,338$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 45c | 2,242$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 2,000$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.54 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 43c | 1,970$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.37 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 57c | 1,757$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 36c | 1,731$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.9 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 35c | 1,727$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.43 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 54c | 1,671$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.32 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 1,616$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.68 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Under | 63c | 1,594$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.6 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Over | 54c | 1,526$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 54c | 1,525$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.72 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Over | 76c | 1,320$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 17c | 1,261$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 72c | 1,201$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.15 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.99 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 1,058$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.7 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 69c | 1,043$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 76c | 1,026$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 1,013$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.38 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 816.66$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Under | 43c | 810.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 755.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 33c | 725.3$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 46c | 638.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under | 58c | 625.49$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 47c | 608.87$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 55c | 599.96$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 18c | 595.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 585.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 35c | 571.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.41 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Over | 52c | 566.1$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…d998backed Under | 65c | 515.38$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Over | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 482.29$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 35c | 428.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Over | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 420$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 24c | 412.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…aefbbacked Under | 40c | 405.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Under | 29c | 404.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked Under | 22c | 399.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…90f1backed Under | 45c | 392.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 388.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked Under | 45c | 360.75$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 69c | 349.66$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 40c | 347.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…c25cbacked Over | 63c | 317.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 24c | 315.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 56c | 314.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 69c | 303.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed Over | 68c | 294.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 34c | 289.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.37 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 48c | 279.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Over | 55c | 278.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +65%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 45c | 253.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.