Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364fcef9758200262261630040e56c08fc6f2085618a2e01f7cd1e8bc62f55b4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nottingham Forest FCof Chelsea FC, Nottingham Forest FC
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $143,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $146,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Chelsea FC	46c	43,604$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Nottingham Forest FC	54c	43,268$23,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,903.33	133	53.4%71 W · 62 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	55c	19,201$10,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,647.06	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Chelsea FC	46c	14,022$6,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,450	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC	9c	9,763$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.7	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC	24c	6,129$1,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.08	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Chelsea FC	45c	3,776$1,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,681.05	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Nottingham Forest FC	69c	3,318$2,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,028.57	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+34%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC	31c	2,755$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.19	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e1…c25cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	55c	2,713$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.38	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cba…5b14backed Chelsea FC	45c	2,628$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Chelsea FC	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Chelsea FC	45c	2,141$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	74c	2,027$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.03	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Nottingham Forest FC	75c	2,000$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.24	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	66cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Chelsea FC	33c	1,818$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nottingham Forest FC	56c	1,780$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.24	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nottingham Forest FC	54c	1,700$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.9	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	67c	1,655$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.07	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Chelsea FC	33c	1,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-9.5wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	57c	1,102$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.56	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chelsea FC	5c	809.25$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Chelsea FC	44c	700$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-6.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Chelsea FC	33c	606.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	540.98$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.44	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nottingham Forest FC	67c	499.96$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.51	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Chelsea FC	11c	455.73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Chelsea FC	44c	453.26$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Chelsea FC	33c	451.99$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.16	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Chelsea FC	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	252	25%63 W · 189 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chelsea FC	4c	444.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chelsea FC	5c	435$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.49	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Nottingham Forest FC	56c	432$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.46	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Chelsea FC	44c	400$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Nottingham Forest FC	66c	398.01$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.84	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Chelsea FC	5c	372.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC	12c	361.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.68	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chelsea FC	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Chelsea FC	40c	299.33$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.7	173	27.2%47 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Chelsea FC	42c	276.16$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.53	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chelsea FC	12c	268.01$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.38	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Nottingham Forest FC	69c	250$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Chelsea FC	45c	240.95$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.61	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Nottingham Forest FC	59c	229.38$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.58	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Chelsea FC	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Chelsea FC	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Chelsea FC	45c	221.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.89	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Nottingham Forest FC	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557b…5a4fbacked Chelsea FC	33c	211.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.77	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Chelsea FC	44c	201.25$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.55	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Chelsea FC	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Nottingham Forest FC	56c	199.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Chelsea FC	28c	199$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	181.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.83	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Nottingham Forest FC	60c	167$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Chelsea FC	43c	158.33$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.08	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	72c	153$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.84	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Chelsea FC	28c	150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nottingham Forest FC	67c	144.65$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.61	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Chelsea FC	35c	143.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	212	54.2%115 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Nottingham Forest FC	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Chelsea FC	44c	134.18$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nottingham Forest FC	61c	130.06$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.57	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Chelsea FC	44c	126.64$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Chelsea FC	39c	123.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.76	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chelsea FC	33c	115.46$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Chelsea FC	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a5…2563backed Chelsea FC	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Chelsea FC	45c	110.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	110$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.8	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Chelsea FC	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Chelsea FC	32c	108$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	86	66.3%57 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Chelsea FC	33c	103.03$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	75	24%18 W · 57 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Chelsea FC	41c	101.8$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.74	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Chelsea FC	26c	100.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Chelsea FC	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed Nottingham Forest FC	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	68c	100$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nottingham Forest FC	67c	99.49$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.39	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Nottingham Forest FC	56c	92.59$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.74	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Chelsea FC	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chelsea FC	34c	85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Chelsea FC	39c	83.66$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	79.67$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Chelsea FC	39c	79.55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.02	161	36.6%59 W · 102 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Chelsea FC	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	89	59.6%53 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Chelsea FC	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Chelsea FC	29c	69.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Nottingham Forest FC	58c	69.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.33	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chelsea FC	27c	69.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	68.96$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ff…d0dfbacked Chelsea FC	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-5.0wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	56c	62.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	54cpaid	-49%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Chelsea FC	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	65c	61.71$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.58	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	60.76$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event