TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf18c…0350

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
277
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$205.61
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.54
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.93
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$148.15
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$132.11
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.61
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$114.77
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$268.67
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.88
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$81.55
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.61
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$148.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$108
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$45.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.46
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.72
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.46
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$73.08
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$285.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$127.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$219.71
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$38.13
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$61.51
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$42.89
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$72.89
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$148
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 Real Oviedo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$77.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$112.14
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.61
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.89
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$29.62
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.66
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.55
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+300%+$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.04
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.96
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.49
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$113.61
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$66.1
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$131.78
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.24
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.77
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.65
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.36
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+165.6%+$50.84
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+188.2%+$150.19
Will CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.31
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$97.36
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.91
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$75.3
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+274.1%+$52.41
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$36.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.83
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will PSV win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$92.1
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado vs. Kansas Statebacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.