South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6164b3ba720832c8d612e099b4312408917f341770b2fe18215d976e943cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 21,212$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.91 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 11,639$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 56c | 5,580$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.04 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 2,092$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.9 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 80c | 1,885$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,719$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,688$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 1,342$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 21c | 1,248$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 1,201$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.48 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 23c | 867.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 17c | 826.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Yes | 18c | 821.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 809.18$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.58 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 753.7$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 53c | 698.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 40c | 551.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 38c | 512.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 41c | 507.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 16c | 489.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 465.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 27c | 330.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 303.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 75c | 302.32$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 57c | 270.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 31c | 253.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…55ecbacked Yes | 36c | 206.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 196.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 58c | 196.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0a9ebacked Yes | 16c | 186.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 184$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 29c | 173.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked No | 67c | 164.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 141.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 60c | 139$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 41c | 122.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 41c | 121.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Yes | 17c | 103.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 45c | 81.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 27c | 75.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 73c | 74.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 22c | 68.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 56.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 79c | 51.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 76c | 38.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 31.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 58c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 79c | 12.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will América de Cali vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.