South American Leagues · resolved market
Will América de Cali vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce80ef01c915e1aec58301afed380e2b5921c5167406b9f164438b1de3e8bc77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Yes | 54c | 529.58$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed No | 11c | 453.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 31c | 452.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 431.61$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 390.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 326.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 34c | 296.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 276.39$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 264.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 209.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.32 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 205.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 47c | 201.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 23c | 199.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 190.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Yes | 48c | 138.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 49c | 130.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 126.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 124.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 116.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 111.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 66c | 109.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 33c | 85.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 56c | 78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 77.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked No | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 62.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 61.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 21c | 59.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed No | 38c | 51.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 41c | 50.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…af22backed Yes | 63c | 42.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 62c | 40.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 21.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Yes | 57c | 20.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will América de Cali vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?this page
- Will América de Cali win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.