TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0444…55a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Graybacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.97
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Thiago Monteirobacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Istanbul: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.65
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$10.59
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Koprivabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.28
ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigobacked Rina Saigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$15.35
ITF Takasaki: Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Sara Saitobacked Sara Saito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$14.99
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$102.38
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.27
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.87
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$38.27
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+171%+$25.76
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
Will América de Cali vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.32
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.98
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$12.13
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+525%+$102.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$6.65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$7.37
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.89
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+114%+$22.44
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$13.05
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$19.77
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.99
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.58
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+138.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)backed Colorado Rapids SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$26.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$77.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.