La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca199bd80a12a74c56faa07ea287ba4758bb8ac334f1ecfa0f068a42d9e32b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 882.89$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.13 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 39c | 643.48$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 72c | 507.83$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 469.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 405.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 41c | 301.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 58c | 294.12$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 41c | 245.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0bbfbacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…ee46backed Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed No | 44c | 226.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…4025backed Yes | 54c | 171.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 169.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 34c | 164.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 41c | 164.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 39c | 149.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 61c | 136.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 136.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 13c | 124.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 61c | 107.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 46.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed No | 43c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 40.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 61c | 38.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd841…64cabacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 41c | 30.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 74c | 29.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 61c | 27.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 61c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 61c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…f845backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 58c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Yes | 59c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.