La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba2cdbbf4c55585bb912d3f1b5eee67630d1cc7a7bce832e3dd4a7d417f0715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 5,434$3,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.41 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 4,271$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 3,782$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.46 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.91 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 37c | 1,848$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 65c | 1,033$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.39 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 33c | 988.45$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 582.35$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 459.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.27 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 455.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 24c | 448.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 75c | 372.24$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 18c | 372$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 323.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 315.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 76c | 233.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 77c | 229.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 32c | 228.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 78c | 227.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 21c | 183.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 175.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 67c | 160$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 68c | 141.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 77c | 100.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 65c | 95.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 94.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 68c | 93.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Over | 33c | 71.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 32c | 68.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 31c | 67.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 66c | 63.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 20c | 61.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 47.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 65c | 40.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 68c | 37.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 33.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 68c | 33.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 69c | 29.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Over | 40c | 29.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 29.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 28.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 65c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 74c | 24.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 69c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.