La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3f171cdf87e54cb4f4c28434643841814c4d76755e1aeaebb8f36afa5371b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 55c | 10,766$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.12 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,745$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,594.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 8,036$4,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.05 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Under | 45c | 7,997$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 57c | 6,426$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 52c | 6,332$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 49c | 3,821$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Over | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,842$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 2,837$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.58 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 55c | 2,739$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 2,411$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad6…5c81backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 43c | 1,719$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.26 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 55c | 1,645$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.62 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 45c | 1,620$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 56c | 1,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 1,394$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.89 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 45c | 1,262$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 1,148$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.66 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,134$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.63 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.88 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 1,034$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.19 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 613.82$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 566.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 44c | 565.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 55c | 500.27$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 44c | 465$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Under | 45c | 446.92$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 68c | 424.67$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 39c | 422.45$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Under | 46c | 397$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 52c | 388.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…5e01backed Over | 54c | 339.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 324.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 48c | 300.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 48c | 251.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 53c | 245.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 51c | 210.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 55c | 200.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 56c | 182.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 179.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 57c | 176.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Over | 53c | 168.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 48c | 166.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 160.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 46c | 154.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 149.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 148.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 45c | 135.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 52c | 132.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 130.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Over | 58c | 121.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 43c | 121.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 115.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 49c | 104.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 97.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 45c | 90.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…fcdfbacked Under | 46c | 85.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…1da6backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Under | 46c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 45c | 77.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 42c | 75.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 74.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Under | 45c | 73.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 45c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…fe9bbacked Over | 43c | 67.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 44c | 66.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 65.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 45c | 64.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Over | 56c | 64.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 62.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 44c | 60.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 45c | 59.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 48c | 57.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.