TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b2f…3531

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,486.64
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$183.3
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$764.86
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.16
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.28
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120.21
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$95.8
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$484.15
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
76ers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$484.49
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,391.16
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$234.52
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$874.09
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$861.24
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripes: O/U 82.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$84
WORLD vs. STRIPES: O/U 80.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$306.37
STARS vs. STRIPES: O/U 81.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$41.39
WORLD vs. STARS: O/U 81.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Pacers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$801.24
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$44.02
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+90.8%+$23.55
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$999.36
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,140
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$532
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$422.19
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.58
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$421.9
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,190.7
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$715
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,079.39
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$2,310
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,724.92
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.77
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.74
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,180
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.44
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+262.5%+$1,230.68
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$3,640
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.1%+$479.98
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.04
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$372.72
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,338.31
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$1,180.03
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.56
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.74
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$417.76
Louisville Cardinals vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.87
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-5.5)backed Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
American Eagles vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-14.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$586.56
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$418.57
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers: O/U 121.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$192.75
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$236.71
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bears: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$757.68
American Eagles vs. Army Black Knights: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110.45
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$77.84
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100.5%+$1,855.56
Spread: Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (-1.5)backed Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$436.57
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$176.9
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.4%+$371.02
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.28
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.37
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$1,384.9
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$104.45
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$352.82
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,350
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$315
Devils vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$933
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$306.26
Devils vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
Golden Knights vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$357.54
Utah vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$1,316.92
Utah vs. Islandersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.6%+$182.37
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$852.01
Capitals vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$20
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$190.35
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.9%+$285.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$537.8
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.04
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$526.75
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$507.65
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,508.67
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,477.46
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$113.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.58
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+478.5%+$2,983.06
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$276.36
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.63
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$503.49
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italybacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.99
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$653.96
First Round Pool A: Canada vs. Panamabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$41.96
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,982Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,906.73
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,395.14
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+30%+$600.13
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$258.75
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$385.74
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$1,359.99
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Spread: Giants (-14.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,008
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$194.5
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$235.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+135.9%+$538.57
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$128
Rice vs. Texas State: O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$229.7
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$394.9
O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$152.36
All 5 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.8
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.15
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,021
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,887.87
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$779.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$214.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$2,038.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Firebacked Supah Hot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$244.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,807.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.