TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2a…3706backed Over55c13,086$7,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,197.263732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c9,614$4,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,303.441,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…debdbacked Over55c6,206$3,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over53c4,885$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.381421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,463$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over54c4,207$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.888350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29ac…ea58backed Over56c3,213$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under45c2,505$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.9814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over48c1,671$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.2149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over51c1,554$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.5412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under59c1,185$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over54c1,133$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.982450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,100$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.441,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88b…976cbacked Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c969.3$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over41c874.51$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.551,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.183246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c562.38$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.182,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c505.55$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over34c484.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.871,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over18c380.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c347.4$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under69c275.08$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.61,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…4d67backed Over57c272.78$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c6…2f90backed Under44c265.76$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eef…0c2bbacked Over57c260.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6097…e85bbacked Under44c247.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c217.25$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under52c199.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.84351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0612542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over50c184.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under52c183.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3511143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c182.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Under75c139.58$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.847248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c129.73$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c107.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.721,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.799748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under52c103.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under52c103.94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8940750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed0…b5b8backed Under52c103.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5163353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under46c96.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.253158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c96.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5925360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over46c83.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Under53c81.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2910657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over55c75.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.421,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under45c73.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1638736.4%141 W · 246 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under53c73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over15c72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over51c66.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9713554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over50c61.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7418444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over52c59.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0812458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under52c55.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4733159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ee…dbbdbacked Over51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcebd…2502backed Over51c53.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.183545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under44c50.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.268347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90d5…3fadbacked Over51c48.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7516951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under67c48.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.853948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee3…11b5backed Over51c47.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Over52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.286147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0960…34a6backed Over51c42.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over51c40.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8823840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under73c40.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.717763.6%49 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under46c39.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4121952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e66…450ebacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over51c36.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4421843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb56…ced2backed Over51c35.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over52c35.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.453951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over37c34.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8910523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c28.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under55c28.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.75843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde14…42a6backed Over52c24.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c22.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over51c19.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over52c19.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.138048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.