NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20175b314d124ced5af0c17c5e1bf40a6f880ff10fbb863d40f4f7f9c2f0f002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Hornets | 59c | 39,910$23,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,363.18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks | 41c | 32,389$13,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,279.44 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Knicks | 41c | 6,069$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.09 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Knicks | 41c | 3,678$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.93 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks | 41c | 2,024$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.73 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Hornets | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 68c | 1,271$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Hornets | 59c | 1,157$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.47 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks | 43c | 1,097$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.86 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Knicks | 45c | 948.67$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hornets | 55c | 911.26$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.09 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked Hornets | 59c | 877.86$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hornets | 57c | 776.89$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.06 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 57c | 617.7$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 59c | 616.45$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 59c | 558.05$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Knicks | 45c | 331.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Hornets | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…182bbacked Hornets | 57c | 311.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…afa3backed Knicks | 44c | 310.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 59c | 292.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Knicks | 42c | 230.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…2aa7backed Knicks | 42c | 229.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Knicks | 42c | 229.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 57c | 220.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 37c | 191.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Hornets | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hornets | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Knicks | 32c | 135$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Hornets | 59c | 127.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 57c | 119.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Hornets | 55c | 113.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets | 56c | 111.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Hornets | 71c | 111.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Hornets | 59c | 107.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hornets | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 57c | 99.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Knicks | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Knicks | 29c | 83.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Hornets | 59c | 72.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Knicks | 42c | 69.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Knicks | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks | 42c | 59.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 45c | 56.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 55c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Hornets | 56c | 51.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks | 45c | 46.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Hornets | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Hornets | 59c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Knicks | 45c | 30.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Hornets | 59c | 30.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Hornets | 49c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…c6b3backed Knicks | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Hornets | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Hornets | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.