NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2a761346abaa6b08dbd6960866419c6fb60362b5a0c29fca26d6216c5b127c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.75 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 50c | 2,437$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.73 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 52c | 942.38$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 862.73$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 639.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 612.37$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Over | 61c | 575.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 495.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 50c | 428.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Over | 67c | 412.66$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 397.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…cbb4backed Under | 62c | 316.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 47c | 296.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 43c | 283.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 262.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 47c | 201.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 60c | 161.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 49c | 148.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Over | 43c | 133.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 33c | 94.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 75.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 58.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Over | 47c | 57.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…6d92backed Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…803abacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 56c | 27.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Over | 53c | 19.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. KnicksHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-13.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-8.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.