TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dcf…f174

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Eva Vedder vs Georgina Garcia Perezbacked Eva Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$4.66
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Jack Kennedybacked Jack Kennedy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.53
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$13.18
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Oeiras 3: Rebecca Sramkova vs Petra Marcinkobacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.57
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs San-Hui Shinbacked San-Hui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Blake Ellisbacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.08
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Oliver Crawford vs. Jack Kennedy: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Frederico Ferreira Silva vs. Moez Echargui: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.22
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Max Houkes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.9
Cobolli vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.97
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Philip Sekulicbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.58
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.76
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.26
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.3
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.27
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Kings vs. Nets: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Heat vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 125.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.33
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+70%+$12.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+92.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$26
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.69
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.26
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.