NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b051b502d4d368bf123353df9e7e7c780ee6a52c9a9bdf1c11b995ceb99e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $711,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 57c | 180,197$103,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,473.2 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Utah | 59c | 171,823$101,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,374.6 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 42c | 152,009$63,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,365.55 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 42c | 132,073$55,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,670.61 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 46c | 65,618$30,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,198.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Utah | 58c | 65,283$37,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,538.03 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Penguins | 41c | 44,219$18,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,086.38 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Utah | 58c | 42,000$24,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,360 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 42c | 38,490$16,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,323.97 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Utah | 55c | 38,119$21,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,107.47 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Utah | 60c | 13,672$8,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.44 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 43c | 12,676$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.81 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Utah | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 42c | 9,524$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.8 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Penguins | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.97 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Penguins | 45c | 7,141$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 43c | 5,624$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.73 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Penguins | 18c | 5,554$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 41c | 4,702$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 46c | 4,402$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.1 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 58c | 4,268$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.4 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Utah | 74c | 4,192$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.42 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Utah | 58c | 4,075$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.78 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Utah | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.97 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Penguins | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Utah | 57c | 3,087$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.04 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Utah | 37c | 3,044$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.53 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Utah | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Utah | 59c | 2,839$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Utah | 75c | 2,712$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.55 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah | 45c | 2,703$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 43c | 2,601$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.62 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Utah | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 70c | 2,481$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.83 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Penguins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 71c | 2,124$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 42c | 2,067$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.86 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah | 38c | 1,947$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.54 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Utah | 26c | 1,925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Utah | 28c | 1,864$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Utah | 12c | 1,837$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 69c | 1,795$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Penguins | 64c | 1,758$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 42c | 1,670$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Utah | 73c | 1,666$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Penguins | 76c | 1,637$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.62 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Utah | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.95 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…a8c6backed Utah | 54c | 1,251$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Penguins | 46c | 1,197$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,155$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.82 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…7dcebacked Utah | 58c | 1,134$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Penguins | 12c | 1,111$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.66 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.37 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Penguins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Penguins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 42c | 980.59$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.03 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Utah | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Utah | 58c | 870$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…fea8backed Penguins | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…bbc0backed Utah | 59c | 780$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Penguins | 42c | 780$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.4 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…af48backed Utah | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…afd3backed Penguins | 42c | 730$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Penguins | 42c | 700$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Penguins | 35c | 683.97$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…b3b7backed Utah | 58c | 641$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 42c | 635.24$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Utah | 41c | 623.27$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…ec5abacked Utah | 58c | 622$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah | 67c | 620.1$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Penguins | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penguins | 41c | 600$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Penguins | 42c | 599.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.98 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Penguins | 27c | 599.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…bf7ebacked Utah | 58c | 592$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.36 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Penguins | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Utah | 56c | 552.25$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 79c | 545.43$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Utah | 39c | 530$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Penguins | 43c | 526.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Penguins | 43c | 525.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Utah | 53c | 521.51$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…7519backed Utah | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Utah | 58c | 516.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…6f07backed Penguins | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Utah | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210b…29b5backed Penguins | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Utah | 32c | 499.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 74c | 480.09$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Utahthis page
- Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.