TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63ed…92be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$531
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$83.6
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.76
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$381
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.1
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$275
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.25
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$76.11
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$176.79
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$253.72
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.1%+$22.04
Canucks vs. Penguinsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.15
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$149.5
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$321.34
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$248.64
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$432
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+54.3%+$176
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$62.22
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.08
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Marlins vs. White Soxbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+210.6%+$84.24
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Giants vs. Twinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$158.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$140.98
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$97.76
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.81
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.61
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+102%+$141.03
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.51
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.36
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.58
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.03
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Berrettini (+1.5)backed Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$234
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.75
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.49
BNP Paribas Open: Elena Rybakina vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.15
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Wimbledon: Cerundolo vs. Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST120%0 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$419.99
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$101.92
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$284.77
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,407
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,399.41
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$468
Spread: Chiefs (-12.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.8
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$153
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Werder Bremen vs. Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.