TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,559 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes71c1,972$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.325949.2%29 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd341…b73fbacked Yes79c1,403$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Yes41c1,203$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.4546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed No22c1,064$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Yes77c1,000$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes43c995.97$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.2628451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes77c899.15$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No61c573$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.36339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No60c551.28$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.284032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No49c414.17$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.082770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes76c321.56$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2963144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f0…7f22backed Yes35c287$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb8…c30cbacked Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…a345backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…ea17backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f93…82cdbacked Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9c…dc24backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b58…f37fbacked Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf8…3285backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x034f…1a71backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380d…dd1dbacked Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7062…9620backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3595…7677backed Yes35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c01…e313backed Yes35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9732…73c5backed Yes35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ad…cc65backed Yes35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…7beabacked Yes35c277$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb1…6236backed No65c211$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d49…519bbacked No65c208$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87bc…468bbacked No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No58c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No29c199.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ba…cebebacked Yes51c196.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…72b9backed No65c192$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes37c190$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a5d…59e7backed No65c183$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x247d…e062backed No65c183$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f3…d947backed No65c183$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes75c182.13$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No54c173$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4220554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No60c158.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a57…ebc1backed No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8acf…25ddbacked No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8074…21d0backed No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…d016backed No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6798…69febacked No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3177…9e0cbacked No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccfc…0ccabacked No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3363…d8d9backed No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9d4…619cbacked No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x788d…7d20backed No65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…1f97backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6382…f298backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…357abacked No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1bf…47adbacked No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f7…af20backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec8…2af8backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1926…a308backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09cd…2fb4backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc144…7f6cbacked No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe63f…93a8backed No65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0869…ac30backed No65c135$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb1…4823backed No22c128$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No22c124.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.481,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No48c124.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.061540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f4…aaf3backed No21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…62debacked No23c118$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ff…09d5backed No23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f2…7985backed No23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf0…e4ddbacked No22c108$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe725…6c4abacked No23c107$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871c…ccebbacked No21c102$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes66c101.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8761953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No18c100.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.622,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No61c98.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c4…2e42backed No22c97.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes36c95.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6338147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ca…a82ebacked No23c92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No23c91.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2214028.6%40 W · 100 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5c…498fbacked Yes39c82.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.053148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No23c82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.869043.3%39 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes38c78.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.822,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No32c77.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519854.5%108 W · 90 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed No21c65.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.714415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Yes79c63.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3414770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a7…6000backed Yes71c63.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be3…e544backed Yes39c62.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…33b0backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No43c61.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No56c54.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6436839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c4a6backed Yes63c52.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x879c…7845backed Yes79c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe38…2300backed Yes79c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…cec8backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bb…5cadbacked Yes78c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3237…0deabacked Yes79c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e84…3b9cbacked Yes79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…5736backed Yes79c43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…3cb2backed Yes78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e41…d7b5backed Yes78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.