TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c18…c4a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick46cpaid-82.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.24
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.2
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.93
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.38
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$233.62
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.25
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.54
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.88
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$251.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.04
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+113.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.