World Politics · resolved market
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e8cdf6ed1a4132ce687c5cd5d0eec65f439e0c83ae7bad3463a0906aba7aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,675,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,800,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,675,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 14c | 68,992$9,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,938.82 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed No | 20c | 67,472$13,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,641.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 57c | 63,916$36,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,254.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 72c | 24,911$17,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,994.38 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked No | 22c | 24,627$5,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,318.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed No | 15c | 18,641$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 63c | 16,500$10,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf552…98e2backed No | 22c | 15,489$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…92d3backed No | 11c | 15,090$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 14,820$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 14c | 14,241$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 7c | 12,056$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 13c | 11,957$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked No | 12c | 10,878$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 68c | 10,529$7,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.59 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 74c | 9,198$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 14c | 9,010$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 16c | 8,372$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.48 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…4cdebacked Yes | 79c | 7,768$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Yes | 76c | 7,705$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…57d2backed No | 12c | 7,108$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…a036backed No | 14c | 6,088$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 64c | 6,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…9254backed No | 9c | 5,978$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…b231backed No | 11c | 5,951$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 15c | 5,567$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.65 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 15c | 5,361$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 19c | 5,129$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.29 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 22c | 5,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked No | 13c | 4,900$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…9129backed No | 14c | 4,775$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 77c | 4,742$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…d86dbacked No | 14c | 4,728$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…7417backed No | 10c | 4,589$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8a9fbacked No | 21c | 4,363$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 22c | 4,197$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…173bbacked No | 14c | 4,097$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…e64fbacked No | 11c | 3,975$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 73c | 3,800$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…d2c8backed Yes | 79c | 3,600$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 1c | 3,508$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed No | 16c | 3,429$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.04 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed No | 14c | 3,389$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 77c | 3,113$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…1b4dbacked No | 14c | 3,085$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…5d4bbacked No | 11c | 2,800$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed No | 22c | 2,713$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…b56bbacked No | 10c | 2,650$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 11c | 2,556$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.47 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…e9a2backed Yes | 79c | 2,540$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…65f7backed No | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…72abbacked No | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed No | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…f029backed Yes | 72c | 2,410$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…4101backed No | 14c | 2,398$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc958…5fa9backed No | 23c | 2,276$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 80c | 2,214$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…ca15backed Yes | 77c | 2,136$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 24c | 2,127$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.01 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 70c | 2,124$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked No | 14c | 2,098$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 2,078$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 73c | 2,049$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…2cd0backed Yes | 80c | 2,025$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed No | 15c | 2,023$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 72c | 1,986$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 18c | 1,923$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked No | 21c | 1,923$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed No | 15c | 1,902$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a961backed No | 8c | 1,895$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…e099backed No | 12c | 1,860$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0e62backed No | 16c | 1,857$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 22c | 1,764$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.92 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed Yes | 74c | 1,761$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 1,760$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…5fdfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,736$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…9b93backed No | 11c | 1,700$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 71c | 1,684$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed No | 10c | 1,682$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 23c | 1,667$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.26 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a8…546fbacked No | 11c | 1,665$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…070ebacked No | 13c | 1,663$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…1247backed No | 11c | 1,660$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…9d2bbacked No | 8c | 1,658$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…8d86backed No | 11c | 1,655$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…addbbacked No | 11c | 1,650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd8…f9a8backed No | 11c | 1,650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc268…7d52backed No | 14c | 1,643$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cf37backed No | 13c | 1,610$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…7c84backed No | 11c | 1,590$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed0…6984backed No | 11c | 1,550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…17b6backed Yes | 74c | 1,550$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…52b2backed No | 10c | 1,533$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 63c | 1,522$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.14 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 79c | 1,512$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ac98backed No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…0b2bbacked No | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?this page
- Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.