TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67d6…245e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7929.1%23 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$112.62
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28.23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+287.7%+$286.44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$399.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$480.05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.68
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.51
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,159.43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,819Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7,211.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.43
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,022.96
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$9,872.22
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$1,865.15
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$95.39
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$990.79
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.83
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,314.47
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$372.51
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-61.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$420
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25.8%+$451
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$271.59
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,238.89
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$312.05
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$185.1
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$770.45
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$61.24
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+189%+$65.4
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$31.17
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$329.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.17
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.79
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$470.19
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.61
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,416.46
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.4
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.22
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.34
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$287.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$385.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$363.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$388.33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$385.05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,283.03
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-78.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.69
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.09
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.91
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.84
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.33
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$924.42
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$362.07
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$588
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.4
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$323.3
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$349
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+158.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$183.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$93.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+733.3%+$105.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77,999Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38,417.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,431.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,228.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.